Prep Baseball Report

Tucson Summer ID: Pitching Data Dive


Cam Black-Araujo
Arizona Operations

This past Saturday, the Prep Baseball Arizona staff concluded it's Summer Tour with the fourth and final Summer ID, the Tucson Summer ID, at the University of Arizona in Tucson, Arizona. This event featured roughly 43 prospects from the 2025 - 2028 classes and allowed players to update their metrics and profiles following the summer season as players head back to school. Summer ID showcases also serve as identifiers for Invite-Only events throughout the rest of the calendar year.

Earlier this week, we broke down the top measurable data performers from the event with our Statistical Analysis article. Now, we will take a further in-depth look at the top pitchers with the help of our tech partnerships, broken down by the categories down below:

For complete event results, click here.
To view upcoming event schedule, click here.

FASTBALL

MAX VELOCITY (MPH)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Velocity (max)
1 Juan Hernandez AZ Tucson 2025 OF 88.5 mph
2 Rafael Echeverria AZ Rio Rico 2025 LHP 83.7 mph
3 Alek Leyva AZ Catalina Foothills 2026 RHP 81.6 mph
4 Connor Iniguez AZ Flagstaff 2025 RHP 81.6 mph
5 Sehaj Malhi AZ Scottsdale Prep 2025 RHP 80.7 mph
6 Austin Calise AZ Skyline 2026 2B 80.2 mph
7 Erik Lopez AZ Liberty 2028 RHP 79.5 mph
8 Robert Friend AZ Empire 2025 RHP 79.5 mph
9 Brady Winebrenner AZ Valley Christian 2027 RHP 79.5 mph
10 Jayson Veit AZ Salpointe Catholic 2028 1B 78.6 mph

Max Fastball Velocity: This metric calculates the speed of the pitch as it’s released from the pitcher’s hand.

SPIN RATE (AVG)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Rafael Echeverria AZ Rio Rico 2025 LHP 2390 rpm
2 Jayson Veit AZ Salpointe Catholic 2028 1B 2153 rpm
3 Juan Hernandez AZ Tucson 2025 OF 2151 rpm
4 Connor Iniguez AZ Flagstaff 2025 RHP 2137 rpm
5 Austin Calise AZ Skyline 2026 2B 2122 rpm

Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Sehaj Malhi AZ Scottsdale Prep 2025 RHP 15.2 in
2 Brady Winebrenner AZ Valley Christian 2027 RHP 15.2 in
3 Robert Friend AZ Empire 2025 RHP 14.8 in
4 Rafael Echeverria AZ Rio Rico 2025 LHP 14.5 in
5 Jayson Veit AZ Salpointe Catholic 2028 1B 14.3 in

Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiency. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of the vertical approach angle.

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Gavin Daniels AZ Desert Mountain 2027 LHP -12.2
2 Jayson Veit AZ Salpointe Catholic 2028 1B 10.9
3 Robert Friend AZ Empire 2025 RHP 9.0
4 Connor Iniguez AZ Flagstaff 2025 RHP 8.4
5 Connor Matalone AZ Catalina Foothills 2028 SS 6.7

Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Erik Lopez AZ Liberty 2028 RHP 63 %
2 Austin Calise AZ Skyline 2026 2B 60 %

CURVEBALL

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Rafael Echeverria AZ Rio Rico 2025 LHP 2439 rpm
2 Sehaj Malhi AZ Scottsdale Prep 2025 RHP 2433 rpm
3 Victor Corella AZ Salpointe Catholic 2027 OF 2140 rpm
4 Connor Matalone AZ Catalina Foothills 2028 SS 1950 rpm

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Sehaj Malhi AZ Scottsdale Prep 2025 RHP 15.2 in
2 Brady Winebrenner AZ Valley Christian 2027 RHP 15.2 in
3 Robert Friend AZ Empire 2025 RHP 14.8 in
4 Rafael Echeverria AZ Rio Rico 2025 LHP 14.5 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Connor Matalone AZ Catalina Foothills 2028 SS -7.8
2 Victor Corella AZ Salpointe Catholic 2027 OF -6.8
3 Sehaj Malhi AZ Scottsdale Prep 2025 RHP -4.6
4 Rafael Echeverria AZ Rio Rico 2025 LHP 4.4

SLIDER

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Brady Winebrenner AZ Valley Christian 2027 RHP 2095
2 Juan Hernandez AZ Tucson 2025 OF 2066
3 Connor Iniguez AZ Flagstaff 2025 RHP 2015
4 Gavin Daniels AZ Desert Mountain 2027 LHP 1959
5 Austin Calise AZ Skyline 2026 2B 1872

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Robert Friend AZ Empire 2025 RHP -6.9 in
2 Alek Leyva AZ Catalina Foothills 2026 RHP -5.6 in
3 Connor Iniguez AZ Flagstaff 2025 RHP -3.8 in
4 Juan Hernandez AZ Tucson 2025 OF -3.3 in
5 Erik Lopez AZ Liberty 2028 RHP -2.7 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Austin Calise AZ Skyline 2026 2B -9.7
2 Connor Iniguez AZ Flagstaff 2025 RHP -8.8
3 Alek Leyva AZ Catalina Foothills 2026 RHP -7.0
4 Erik Lopez AZ Liberty 2028 RHP -6.7
5 Brady Winebrenner AZ Valley Christian 2027 RHP -5.5

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Jayson Veit AZ Salpointe Catholic 2028 1B 62 %
2 Juan Hernandez AZ Tucson 2025 OF 60 %
^ Jesus Beltran AZ Apollo 2025 3B 60 %
3 Brady Winebrenner AZ Valley Christian 2027 RHP 50 %
^ Gavin Daniels AZ Desert Mountain 2027 LHP 50 %
^ Austin Calise AZ Skyline 2026 2B 50 %

CHANGEUP

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Robert Friend AZ Empire 2025 RHP 10.3
2 Rafael Echeverria AZ Rio Rico 2025 LHP -9.6
3 Juan Hernandez AZ Tucson 2025 OF 9.2
4 Sehaj Malhi AZ Scottsdale Prep 2025 RHP 9.1
5 Erik Lopez AZ Liberty 2028 RHP 8.9

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Connor Matalone AZ Catalina Foothills 2028 SS 100 %
^ Gavin Daniels AZ Desert Mountain 2027 LHP 100 %
2 Connor Iniguez AZ Flagstaff 2025 RHP 80 %
^ Juan Hernandez AZ Tucson 2025 OF 80 %
3 Brady Winebrenner AZ Valley Christian 2027 RHP 60 %

UPCOMING EVENTS

SHOWCASE STATE DATE LOCATION
Unsigned Senior Showcase AZ 09/24 Grand Canyon University - Phoenix, AZ
2024 West Coast Games AZ 10/04 JSerra High School & Chapman University (Hart Park)
2024 New Mexico State Games AZ 11/02 Rio Rancho High School - Rio Rancho, NM

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