Prep Baseball Report

Alabama Fall Games: Data Dive, Pitchers


PBR Alabama Staff

On August 27th, we hosted some of the top players in the 2024-2027 class at the University of Montevallo in Montevallo, AL for the Alabama  Fall Games. This event featured more the 50 prospects and it provided our staff with an in-depth look at some high-follow players in the rising upperclassmen group across the state of AL.

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Last week, we broke down the stat leaders from the more traditional categories in our statistical analysis. Today, we will take an even closer look at the pitchers in attendance with the help of our tech partners, broken down by the categories and leaderboards below.

FASTBALL 

MAX VELOCITY (MPH)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Velocity (max)
1 Jaxon Hay AL Benjamin Russell 2024 RHP 90.0 mph
2 Porter Dykes AL Providence Christian 2024 RHP 85.6 mph
3 Andrew Hicks AL Prattville 2024 RHP 85.0 mph
4 Kepler Lively AL Chilton County 2024 RHP 84.5 mph
5 Reed Hartsfield AL Oak Mountain 2024 OF 84.2 mph

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Reed Hartsfield AL Oak Mountain 2024 OF 2374 rpm
2 Porter Dykes AL Providence Christian 2024 RHP 2372 rpm
3 Erik Oxford AL Oak Mountain 2024 1B 2175 rpm
4 Braden Bostick AL Huntsville 2024 RHP 2134 rpm
5 Andrew Hicks AL Prattville 2024 RHP 2110 rpm

Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.

SPIN EFFICIENCY% (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Efficiency % (avg)
1 Brady Sack AL Auburn Junior High School 2027 OF 95 %
2 Kolton Bentley AL Hazel Green 2027 3B 93 %
3 Kepler Lively AL Chilton County 2024 RHP 92 %
4 Patrick Prady AL Thorsby 2024 RHP 92 %
5 Grayson Hays AL Athens 2024 RHP 91 %

Spin Efficiency: This metric is the percentage of the raw spin rate that directly impacts pitch movement; so while raw spin is measured by revolutions per minute (rpm), spin efficiency is the ratio of true spin divided by raw spin. It’s important to understand that more is not always better when it comes to spin efficiency. The optimal spin efficiency on a pitch depends on the pitch type and should be understood in the context of a pitcher’s entire arsenal. Regarding the true four-seam fastball, a spin efficiency close to 100 percent is preferable, indicating that nearly all the backspin generated on the ball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand is contributing to the “riding” action the pitch has as it enters and exits the strike zone, making it especially effective in the upper third of the strike zone.

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Nolan Moore AL Leeds 2024 LHP 20.0 in
2 Hayden Black AL St Clair County 2027 2B 19.9 in
3 Braden Bostick AL Huntsville 2024 RHP 19.4 in
4 Garrett Edwards AL Oak Mountain High School 2025 RHP 18.6 in
5 Brady Sack AL Auburn Junior High School 2027 OF 18.2 in

Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiency. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of the vertical approach angle.

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Patrick Prady AL Thorsby 2024 RHP 19.1
2 Davis Ford AL Opelika 2025 LHP -16.2
3 Hayden Black AL St Clair County 2027 2B 16.0
4 Brayden Hennigan AL Southern Academy 2026 RHP 14.0
5 Andrew Hicks AL Prattville 2024 RHP 13.5

Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Erik Oxford AL Oak Mountain 2024 1B 66 %
2 Brady Sack AL Auburn Junior High School 2027 OF 57 %
^ Reed Hartsfield AL Oak Mountain 2024 OF 57 %
3 Kepler Lively AL Chilton County 2024 RHP 55 %

Average MLB pitchers throw 62 percent strikes, and better pitchers throw strikes 65 percent of the time, or a ratio of roughly 2:1, strikes to balls.


CURVEBALL

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Porter Dykes AL Providence Christian 2024 RHP 2598 rpm
2 Isaac Mastin AL Mountain Brook High School 2026 SS 2421 rpm
3 Jaxon Hay AL Benjamin Russell 2024 RHP 2293 rpm
4 Nolan Moore AL Leeds 2024 LHP 2282 rpm

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Isaac Mastin AL Mountain Brook High School 2026 SS -12.8 in
2 Kepler Lively AL Chilton County 2024 RHP -8.3 in
3 Andrew Hicks AL Prattville 2024 RHP 7.1 in
4 Nolan Moore AL Leeds 2024 LHP -5.4 in
5 Jaxon Hay AL Benjamin Russell 2024 RHP -3.5 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Nolan Moore AL Leeds 2024 LHP 13.9
2 Isaac Mastin AL Mountain Brook High School 2026 SS -13.8
3 Sam Hill AL Corner 2025 LHP 8.6
4 Jaxon Hay AL Benjamin Russell 2024 RHP -7.5
5 Andrew Hicks AL Prattville 2024 RHP 7.4

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Sam Hill AL Corner 2025 LHP 75 %
2 Brady Sack AL Auburn Junior High School 2027 OF 66 %
3 Jaxon Hay AL Benjamin Russell 2024 RHP 62 %
4 Garrett Edwards AL Oak Mountain High School 2025 RHP 50 %


SLIDER

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Porter Dykes AL Providence Christian 2024 RHP 2539
2 Davis Ford AL Opelika 2025 LHP 2344
3 Nolan Moore AL Leeds 2024 LHP 2328
4 Erik Oxford AL Oak Mountain 2024 1B 2245
5 Hayden Black AL St Clair County 2027 2B 2197

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Grayson Hays AL Athens 2024 RHP 8.7 in
2 Hayden Black AL St Clair County 2027 2B 8.6 in
3 Porter Dykes AL Providence Christian 2024 RHP 8.3 in
4 Brady Sack AL Auburn Junior High School 2027 OF 5.9 in
5 Brayden Hennigan AL Southern Academy 2026 RHP 5.4 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Patrick Prady AL Thorsby 2024 RHP -14.9
2 Hayden Black AL St Clair County 2027 2B -13.8
3 Porter Dykes AL Providence Christian 2024 RHP -13.4
4 Nolan Moore AL Leeds 2024 LHP 11.1
5 Reed Hartsfield AL Oak Mountain 2024 OF -10.5

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Brady Sack AL Auburn Junior High School 2027 OF 100 %
2 Hayden Black AL St Clair County 2027 2B 80 %


CHANGEUP

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Grayson Hays AL Athens 2024 RHP 1958 rpm
2 Porter Dykes AL Providence Christian 2024 RHP 1886 rpm
3 Garrett Edwards AL Oak Mountain High School 2025 RHP 1872 rpm
4 Isaac Mastin AL Mountain Brook High School 2026 SS 1858 rpm
5 Reed Hartsfield AL Oak Mountain 2024 OF 1851 rpm

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Patrick Prady AL Thorsby 2024 RHP 18.0
2 Porter Dykes AL Providence Christian 2024 RHP 17.4
3 Sam Hill AL Corner 2025 LHP -16.2
4 Hayden Black AL St Clair County 2027 2B 15.9
5 Kepler Lively AL Chilton County 2024 RHP 15.5

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Isaac Mastin AL Mountain Brook High School 2026 SS 100 %
2 Davis Ford AL Opelika 2025 LHP 80 %
3 Erik Oxford AL Oak Mountain 2024 1B 66 %
^ Andrew Hicks AL Prattville 2024 RHP 66 %

CLICK HERE for a look at the complete statistics from the event.


 

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Upcoming Events

SHOWCASE DATE LOCATION
South Alabama Select September 24th, 2023 The Performance Lab (Mobile, AL)
Southeast Senior Games (Invite-Only) October 7th-8th, 2023 Jacksonville St./Choccolocco Park (Oxford, AL)
AL/MS Border Battle (Invite-Only) October 14th-15th, 2023 Northeast Mississippi CC (Booneville, MS)

 

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