Prep Baseball Report

Top Prospect Games Nashville: Pitchers - Data Dive


Colin Chamblin
Manager, Deep South Operations / Area Scout

On June 6th, we hosted the Top Prospect Games - Nashville. This event featured several of the top players in the state, and it provided our staff with an in-depth look at some high-follow players into the summer and next spring. 

Inside today’s Pitching Data dive we will highlight the players with top metrics per Trackman. 

Last week, we broke down the stat leaders from the more traditional categories in our statistical leaderboards. Today, we will take an even closer look at the pitchers in attendance with the help of our tech partners, broken down by the categories and leaderboards below.

 

FASTBALL 

MAX VELOCITY (MPH)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Velocity (max)
1 Cason Hill TN Middle Tennessee Christian 2025 OF 89.7 mph
2 Evan Bloomer TN First Assembly Christian 2024 RHP 88.5 mph
3 Josh Jeffcoat TN Eagleville 2024 RHP 87.1 mph
4 Chase Fernandez TN Stewarts Creek 2025 RHP 86.5 mph
5 Eli Scoggins TN Van Buren Co High School 2025 RHP 86.3 mph

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Payton Miller TN Independence 2024 SS 2504 rpm
2 Cason Hill TN Middle Tennessee Christian 2025 OF 2288 rpm
3 Josh Jeffcoat TN Eagleville 2024 RHP 2086 rpm
4 Noah Ilias TN Mt Juliet 2024 RHP 2051 rpm
5 Jack Alder TN Franklin 2024 RHP 2019 rpm

Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.

SPIN EFFICIENCY% (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Efficiency % (avg)
1 Evan Bloomer TN First Assembly Christian 2024 RHP 96 %
2 Eli Gardenhire TN Boyd Buchanan 2024 LHP 95 %
3 Hutson Hawk Hargrove TN James Lawson 2025 1B 90 %
4 Chase Fernandez TN Stewarts Creek 2025 RHP 89 %
5 Josh Jeffcoat TN Eagleville 2024 RHP 88 %

Spin Efficiency: This metric is the percentage of the raw spin rate that directly impacts pitch movement; so while raw spin is measured by revolutions per minute (rpm), spin efficiency is the ratio of true spin divided by raw spin. It’s important to understand that more is not always better when it comes to spin efficiency. The optimal spin efficiency on a pitch depends on the pitch type and should be understood in the context of a pitcher’s entire arsenal. Regarding the true four-seam fastball, a spin efficiency close to 100 percent is preferable, indicating that nearly all the backspin generated on the ball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand is contributing to the “riding” action the pitch has as it enters and exits the strike zone, making it especially effective in the upper third of the strike zone.

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Christian Chandler TN Lookout Valley 2024 LHP 16.2 in
2 Jack Alder TN Franklin 2024 RHP 15.7 in
3 Cason Hill TN Middle Tennessee Christian 2025 OF 15.7 in
4 Evan Bloomer TN First Assembly Christian 2024 RHP 15.0 in
5 Cooper Nebben TN Clarksville 2026 SS 13.8 in

Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiency. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of the vertical approach angle.

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Eli Gardenhire TN Boyd Buchanan 2024 LHP -14.8
2 Eli Scoggins TN Van Buren Co High School 2025 RHP 12.3
3 Hutson Hawk Hargrove TN James Lawson 2025 1B 11.0
4 Chase Fernandez TN Stewarts Creek 2025 RHP 10.2
5 Evan Kirby TN THE WEBB SCHOOL 2025 RHP 9.0

Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Payton Miller TN Independence 2024 SS 72 %
2 Evan Bloomer TN First Assembly Christian 2024 RHP 57 %
3 Eli Gardenhire TN Boyd Buchanan 2024 LHP 55 %
4 Jack Alder TN Franklin 2024 RHP 50 %
^ Evan Kirby TN THE WEBB SCHOOL 2025 RHP 50 %
5 Josh Jeffcoat TN Eagleville 2024 RHP 47 %

Average MLB pitchers throw 62 percent strikes, and better pitchers throw strikes 65 percent of the time, or a ratio of roughly 2:1, strikes to balls.


CURVEBALL

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Payton Miller TN Independence 2024 SS 2316 rpm
2 Cason Hill TN Middle Tennessee Christian 2025 OF 2128 rpm
3 Cooper Nebben TN Clarksville 2026 SS 2093 rpm
4 Hutson Hawk Hargrove TN James Lawson 2025 1B 2031 rpm
5 Christian Chandler TN Lookout Valley 2024 LHP 1901 rpm

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Cason Hill TN Middle Tennessee Christian 2025 OF -16.7 in
2 Cooper Nebben TN Clarksville 2026 SS -16.5 in
3 Payton Miller TN Independence 2024 SS -10.5 in
4 Hutson Hawk Hargrove TN James Lawson 2025 1B -7.1 in
5 Jack Alder TN Franklin 2024 RHP -6.2 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Christian Chandler TN Lookout Valley 2024 LHP 16.0
2 Jack Alder TN Franklin 2024 RHP -9.2
3 Payton Miller TN Independence 2024 SS -8.2
4 Cason Hill TN Middle Tennessee Christian 2025 OF -8.1
5 Cooper Nebben TN Clarksville 2026 SS -7.4

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Christian Chandler TN Lookout Valley 2024 LHP 100 %
^ Hutson Hawk Hargrove TN James Lawson 2025 1B 100 %
2 Cooper Nebben TN Clarksville 2026 SS 33 %
3 Jack Alder TN Franklin 2024 RHP 28 %
4 Payton Miller TN Independence 2024 SS 14 %


SLIDER

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Eli Scoggins TN Van Buren Co High School 2025 RHP 2330
2 Chase Fernandez TN Stewarts Creek 2025 RHP 2237
3 Noah Ilias TN Mt Juliet 2024 RHP 2024
4 Josh Jeffcoat TN Eagleville 2024 RHP 2008
5 Christian Chandler TN Lookout Valley 2024 LHP 1965

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Eli Scoggins TN Van Buren Co High School 2025 RHP -12.3 in
2 Josh Jeffcoat TN Eagleville 2024 RHP -10.5 in
3 Evan Bloomer TN First Assembly Christian 2024 RHP -8.0 in
4 Noah Ilias TN Mt Juliet 2024 RHP -5.0 in
5 Chase Fernandez TN Stewarts Creek 2025 RHP -4.2 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Christian Chandler TN Lookout Valley 2024 LHP 14.5
2 Josh Jeffcoat TN Eagleville 2024 RHP -12.3
3 Eli Scoggins TN Van Buren Co High School 2025 RHP -11.7
4 Evan Bloomer TN First Assembly Christian 2024 RHP -11.5
5 Noah Ilias TN Mt Juliet 2024 RHP -9.7

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Evan Bloomer TN First Assembly Christian 2024 RHP 100 %
^ Chase Fernandez TN Stewarts Creek 2025 RHP 100 %
2 Eli Gardenhire TN Boyd Buchanan 2024 LHP 71 %
3 Josh Jeffcoat TN Eagleville 2024 RHP 60 %
4 Eli Scoggins TN Van Buren Co High School 2025 RHP 57 %
5 Evan Kirby TN THE WEBB SCHOOL 2025 RHP 40 %


CHANGEUP

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Josh Jeffcoat TN Eagleville 2024 RHP 1726 rpm
2 Eli Gardenhire TN Boyd Buchanan 2024 LHP 1724 rpm
3 Jack Alder TN Franklin 2024 RHP 1707 rpm
4 Cason Hill TN Middle Tennessee Christian 2025 OF 1426 rpm
5 Eli Scoggins TN Van Buren Co High School 2025 RHP 1405 rpm

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Eli Gardenhire TN Boyd Buchanan 2024 LHP -18.3
2 Josh Jeffcoat TN Eagleville 2024 RHP 11.5
3 Jack Alder TN Franklin 2024 RHP 10.0
4 Eli Scoggins TN Van Buren Co High School 2025 RHP 9.9
5 Evan Kirby TN THE WEBB SCHOOL 2025 RHP 7.6

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Josh Jeffcoat TN Eagleville 2024 RHP 66 %
2 Evan Kirby TN THE WEBB SCHOOL 2025 RHP 50 %
3 Eli Gardenhire TN Boyd Buchanan 2024 LHP 28 %

+ CLICK HERE for a look at the complete statistics from the event.


 

Upcoming Events

SHOWCASE DATE LOCATION
Clarksville Open 6/27 Austin Peay University (Clarksville, TN)
Memphis Open 6/28 Memphis University (Memphis, TN)
Murfreesboro Open 7/11 Riverdale High School (Murfreesboro, TN)
Chattanooga Open 7/12 Chattanooga State CC (Chattanooga, TN)
PBR Junior Future Games 7/25 LakePoint Sports (Emerson, GA)
2023 PBR Future Games 7/26 LakePoint Sports (Emerson, GA)

 

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