Prep Baseball Report

Seattle Fall ID: Pitching Data Dive


Josh Schoenberg
Scouting and Operations Assistant

On October 7th, PBR Washington hosted the Seattle Fall ID in Mercer Island. Perennially, showcases helps introduce our staff to new need-to-know players in the state that we’d not yet seen before, as well as provided us with updated looks at players who’ve earned our attention in the past. This event was for all high school classes.

Previously, we have published our Statistical Analysis. Now, we will take a further in-depth look at the top pitchers with the help of our tech partnerships, broken down by the categories down below:

TRACKMAN

FASTBALL

VELOCITY (MAX)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Velocity (max)
1 Andrew (AJ) Welch WA Monroe 2026 RHP 84.7 mph
2 Hudson Carvalho WA Issaquah 2025 SS 84.6 mph
3 Dylan Jacobs WA Mount Vernon 2025 3B 83.9 mph
4 Eric Havili WA Decatur 2025 OF 81.7 mph
5 Andre Muneton WA Auburn riverside 2025 SS 80.9 mph

Max Fastball Velocity: This metric calculates the speed of the pitch as it’s released from the pitcher’s hand.

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Hudson Carvalho WA Issaquah 2025 SS 2304 rpm
2 Parker Kruglik WA Bainbridge Island 2025 RHP 2150 rpm
3 Andre Muneton WA Auburn riverside 2025 SS 2127 rpm
4 Seth Rutman WA West Seattle 2025 RHP 2107 rpm
5 Eric Havili WA Decatur 2025 OF 2096 rpm

Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Dylan Jacobs WA Mount Vernon 2025 3B 17.6 in
2 Kaiden Kingsley WA Monroe 2026 RHP 16.5 in
3 Andrew (AJ) Welch WA Monroe 2026 RHP 16.4 in
4 Parker Kruglik WA Bainbridge Island 2025 RHP 16.3 in
5 Eric Havili WA Decatur 2025 OF 16.0 in
6 Noah Chong WA Bellevue Christian 2028 RHP 15.9 in
7 Hudson Carvalho WA Issaquah 2025 SS 15.7 in
8 Brady Reiss WA King's 2027 OF 15.6 in
9 Seth Rutman WA West Seattle 2025 RHP 15.1 in
10 Owen Meek WA MountLake Terrace 2026 OF 14.8 in

Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiency. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of the vertical approach angle.

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Hudson Carvalho WA Issaquah 2025 SS 15.7
2 Bodey Reiss WA King's 2025 OF 11.6
3 Owen Meek WA MountLake Terrace 2026 OF 11.6
4 Andrew (AJ) Welch WA Monroe 2026 RHP 10.2
5 Dylan Jacobs WA Mount Vernon 2025 3B 9.3

Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Andrew (AJ) Welch WA Monroe 2026 RHP 75 %
2 Seth Rutman WA West Seattle 2025 RHP 62 %
3 Andre Muneton WA Auburn riverside 2025 SS 57 %
^ Dylan Jacobs WA Mount Vernon 2025 3B 57 %
^ Eric Havili WA Decatur 2025 OF 57 %
4 Owen Meek WA MountLake Terrace 2026 OF 50 %
^ Bodey Reiss WA King's 2025 OF 50 %

Average MLB pitchers throw 62% strikes, and better pitchers throw strikes 65% of the time, or roughly 2:1 strikes to balls.


CURVEBALL

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Seth Rutman WA West Seattle 2025 RHP 2428 rpm
2 Hudson Carvalho WA Issaquah 2025 SS 2290 rpm
3 Parker Kruglik WA Bainbridge Island 2025 RHP 2012 rpm
4 Andre Muneton WA Auburn riverside 2025 SS 1986 rpm
5 Eric Havili WA Decatur 2025 OF 1960 rpm

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Parker Kruglik WA Bainbridge Island 2025 RHP -7.4 in
2 Kaiden Kingsley WA Monroe 2026 RHP -7.0 in
3 Andre Muneton WA Auburn riverside 2025 SS 6.4 in
4 Eric Havili WA Decatur 2025 OF 5.3 in
5 Hudson Carvalho WA Issaquah 2025 SS -5.1 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Hudson Carvalho WA Issaquah 2025 SS -16.3
2 Andre Muneton WA Auburn riverside 2025 SS -16.2
3 Parker Kruglik WA Bainbridge Island 2025 RHP -14.9
4 Andrew (AJ) Welch WA Monroe 2026 RHP -14.1
5 Seth Rutman WA West Seattle 2025 RHP -14.0
6 Brady Reiss WA King's 2027 OF -12.9
7 Kaiden Kingsley WA Monroe 2026 RHP -11.4
8 Eric Havili WA Decatur 2025 OF -10.7

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Andrew (AJ) Welch WA Monroe 2026 RHP 75 %
2 Seth Rutman WA West Seattle 2025 RHP 50 %
^ Brady Reiss WA King's 2027 OF 50 %
3 Eric Havili WA Decatur 2025 OF 40 %


SLIDER

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Seth Rutman WA West Seattle 2025 RHP 2494
2 Andre Muneton WA Auburn riverside 2025 SS 2191
3 Bodey Reiss WA King's 2025 OF 2015

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Seth Rutman WA West Seattle 2025 RHP 7.9 in
2 Andre Muneton WA Auburn riverside 2025 SS 5.5 in
3 Bodey Reiss WA King's 2025 OF 3.5 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Andre Muneton WA Auburn riverside 2025 SS -13.9
2 Eric Havili WA Decatur 2025 OF -13.8
3 Seth Rutman WA West Seattle 2025 RHP -10.1

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Noah Chong WA Bellevue Christian 2028 RHP 50 %
2 Seth Rutman WA West Seattle 2025 RHP 40 %
3 Bodey Reiss WA King's 2025 OF 33 %


CHANGEUP

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Dylan Jacobs WA Mount Vernon 2025 3B 16.0
2 Owen Meek WA MountLake Terrace 2026 OF 13.3
3 Hudson Carvalho WA Issaquah 2025 SS 12.9
4 Seth Rutman WA West Seattle 2025 RHP 12.5
5 Andrew (AJ) Welch WA Monroe 2026 RHP 10.8

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Parker Kruglik WA Bainbridge Island 2025 RHP 75 %
2 Hudson Carvalho WA Issaquah 2025 SS 66 %
3 Andrew (AJ) Welch WA Monroe 2026 RHP 50 %

+ CLICK HERE for a look at the complete statistics from the event.

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