Prep Baseball Report

Saskatchewan Fall Open ID: Pitching Data Dive


Cam Black-Araujo
Assistant Director, PBR Canada

On Saturday, October 23rd, the PBR Canada staff headed to Saskatchewan for the first of two events in Saskatoon with the Saskatchewan Fall Open ID hosted at the beautiful Gordie Howe Sports Complex in Saskatoon, Saskatchewan. This event featured 30 players from the across the province, as well as a couple from Manitoba, in the 2024 - 2028 classes and allowed our staff an opportunity to get an in-depth look at the players, as well as collect updated metrics via our tech partners TrackMan and Swift Performance.

Earlier this week, we broke down the top measurable data performers from the event with our Statistical Analysis. Now, we will take a further in-depth look at the top pitchers with the help of our tech partnerships, broken down by the categories down below:

For complete event results, click here.

FASTBALL

MAX VELOCITY (MPH)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Velocity (max)
1 Willis Simair SK Holy Cross 2025 RHP 88.9 mph
2 Ethan Bailey SK Swift Current Comprehensive 2025 OF 87.5 mph
3 Tyson Dale SK Bethlehem Catholic Saskatoon 2025 1B 85.5 mph
4 Matthew Tran SK Campbell Collegiate 2025 RHP 84.9 mph
5 Nathan Yunick SK Martin Collegiate 2024 RHP 84.5 mph
6 Karter Scott SK Martin Collegiate 2024 C 82.9 mph
7 Reese Brons SK St. Joseph 2026 RHP 82.1 mph
8 Alec Deringer SK Martin Academy 2025 OF 81.9 mph
9 Chase Himmelspach SK Gordon F Kells 2025 OF 81.2 mph
10 Ben Hosegood SK Borden School 2025 3B 80.7 mph

Max Fastball Velocity: This metric calculates the speed of the pitch as it’s released from the pitcher’s hand.

SPIN RATE (AVG)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Matthew Tran SK Campbell Collegiate 2025 RHP 2370 rpm
2 Reese Brons SK St. Joseph 2026 RHP 2315 rpm
3 Willis Simair SK Holy Cross 2025 RHP 2206 rpm
4 Ethan Bailey SK Swift Current Comprehensive 2025 OF 2177 rpm
5 Nathan Yunick SK Martin Collegiate 2024 RHP 2104 rpm

Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Alec Deringer SK Martin Academy 2025 OF 20.1 in
2 Chase Himmelspach SK Gordon F Kells 2025 OF 18.8 in
3 Jack Casper SK Luther College High School 2025 RHP 18.2 in
4 Nathan Yunick SK Martin Collegiate 2024 RHP 17.0 in
5 Aidan Shepherd MB John Taylor Collegiate 2026 LHP 16.3 in

Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiency. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of the vertical approach angle.

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Gerritt Gulutzan SK Central Collegiate 2025 OF 15.6
2 Ben Hosegood SK Borden School 2025 3B 13.3
3 Chase Himmelspach SK Gordon F Kells 2025 OF 12.2
4 Jackson Bradford SK Yorkton Regional 2026 LHP -10.1
5 Tyson Hardy SK McNaughton 2026 3B 8.5

Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Tyson Dale SK Bethlehem Catholic Saskatoon 2025 1B 72 %
2 Matthew Tran SK Campbell Collegiate 2025 RHP 71 %
3 Aidan Shepherd MB John Taylor Collegiate 2026 LHP 60 %
4 Nathan Pisio SK Central 2025 C 57 %
5 Jack Casper SK Luther College High School 2025 RHP 55 %

CURVEBALL

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Matthew Tran SK Campbell Collegiate 2025 RHP 2596 rpm
2 Nathan Pisio SK Central 2025 C 2470 rpm
3 Karter Scott SK Martin Collegiate 2024 C 2399 rpm
4 Willis Simair SK Holy Cross 2025 RHP 2364 rpm
5 Reese Brons SK St. Joseph 2026 RHP 2295 rpm

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Willis Simair SK Holy Cross 2025 RHP -14.4 in
2 Alec Deringer SK Martin Academy 2025 OF -12.7 in
3 Tyson Hardy SK McNaughton 2026 3B -12.2 in
4 Ryden Walker SK Martin Academy 2024 RHP -10.6 in
5 Tyson Dale SK Bethlehem Catholic Saskatoon 2025 1B -10.4 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Vince Vollet SK Miller comprehensive 2024 RHP -14.3
2 Matthew Tran SK Campbell Collegiate 2025 RHP -12.1
3 Reese Brons SK St. Joseph 2026 RHP -11.5
4 Aidan Marien SK St Joseph 2025 C -10.4
5 Tyson Hardy SK McNaughton 2026 3B -7.4

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Aidan Shepherd MB John Taylor Collegiate 2026 LHP 100 %
2 Gerritt Gulutzan SK Central Collegiate 2025 OF 50 %
^ Karter Scott SK Martin Collegiate 2024 C 50 %

SLIDER

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Matthew Tran SK Campbell Collegiate 2025 RHP 2568
2 Ethan Bailey SK Swift Current Comprehensive 2025 OF 2451
3 Willis Simair SK Holy Cross 2025 RHP 2376
4 Vince Vollet SK Miller comprehensive 2024 RHP 2128
5 Nathan Yunick SK Martin Collegiate 2024 RHP 2114

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Willis Simair SK Holy Cross 2025 RHP -10.9 in
2 Tyson Dale SK Bethlehem Catholic Saskatoon 2025 1B -7.2 in
3 Jack Casper SK Luther College High School 2025 RHP -5.4 in
4 Matthew Tran SK Campbell Collegiate 2025 RHP -4.4 in
5 Ethan Bailey SK Swift Current Comprehensive 2025 OF -3.9 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Ethan Bailey SK Swift Current Comprehensive 2025 OF -15.9
2 Vince Vollet SK Miller comprehensive 2024 RHP -14.1
3 Matthew Tran SK Campbell Collegiate 2025 RHP -11.2
4 Tyson Dale SK Bethlehem Catholic Saskatoon 2025 1B -11.1
5 Aidan Marien SK St Joseph 2025 C -11.0

CHANGEUP

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Jack Casper SK Luther College High School 2025 RHP 14.6
2 Jackson Bradford SK Yorkton Regional 2026 LHP -13.9
3 Karter Scott SK Martin Collegiate 2024 C 13.7
4 Gerritt Gulutzan SK Central Collegiate 2025 OF 13.4
5 Ben Hosegood SK Borden School 2025 3B 12.8

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Jackson Bradford SK Yorkton Regional 2026 LHP 50 %
^ Alec Deringer SK Martin Academy 2025 OF 50 %
^ Reese Brons SK St. Joseph 2026 RHP 50 %

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