Prep Baseball Report

Tucson Fall ID: Pitching Data Dive


Cam Black-Araujo
Arizona Operations

On Sunday, October 1st, the PBR Arizona staff hosted the Tucson Fall ID at Hi Corbett Field, home of the University of Arizona Wildcats baseball program in Tucson, Arizona. This event featured 21 uncommitted prospects from the 2024 - 2027 classes and allowed our staff an opportunity to get an in-depth look at the players in attendance.

Earlier this week, we broke down the top measurable data performers from the event with our Statistical Analysis article. Now, we will take a further in-depth look at the top pitchers with the help of our tech partnerships, broken down by the categories down below:

For complete event results, click here.
To view upcoming event schedule, click here.

FASTBALL

MAX VELOCITY (MPH)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Velocity (max)
1 Michel Muniz Jr AZ Sunnyside 2025 C 86.0 mph
2 Henry Verhamme AZ Cactus Shadows 2026 SS 83.4 mph
3 Denzel Montijo AZ Nogales 2025 3B 83.3 mph
4 Rafael Echeverria AZ Rio Rico 2025 LHP 80.9 mph
5 Brayden Hoyler AZ Canyon Del Oro 2027 SS 79.7 mph

Max Fastball Velocity: This metric calculates the speed of the pitch as it’s released from the pitcher’s hand.

SPIN RATE (AVG)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Rafael Echeverria AZ Rio Rico 2025 LHP 2265 rpm
2 Michel Muniz Jr AZ Sunnyside 2025 C 2250 rpm
3 Raydon Rocha AZ Mica Mountain 2026 SS 2135 rpm
4 Gabriel A Mendoza AZ Millenium 2025 LHP 2122 rpm
5 Henry Verhamme AZ Cactus Shadows 2026 SS 2087 rpm

Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Rafael Echeverria AZ Rio Rico 2025 LHP 17.1 in
2 Michel Muniz Jr AZ Sunnyside 2025 C 14.1 in
3 Brayden Hoyler AZ Canyon Del Oro 2027 SS 13.8 in
4 Henry Verhamme AZ Cactus Shadows 2026 SS 13.6 in
5 Raydon Rocha AZ Mica Mountain 2026 SS 12.6 in

Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiency. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of the vertical approach angle.

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Brayden Hoyler AZ Canyon Del Oro 2027 SS 8.9
2 Rafael Echeverria AZ Rio Rico 2025 LHP -8.6
3 Henry Verhamme AZ Cactus Shadows 2026 SS 8.1
4 Raydon Rocha AZ Mica Mountain 2026 SS 7.0
5 Michel Muniz Jr AZ Sunnyside 2025 C 5.0

Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Michel Muniz Jr AZ Sunnyside 2025 C 83 %
2 Rafael Echeverria AZ Rio Rico 2025 LHP 57 %

CURVEBALL

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Gabriel A Mendoza AZ Millenium 2025 LHP 2358 rpm
2 Rafael Echeverria AZ Rio Rico 2025 LHP 2356 rpm

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Gabriel A Mendoza AZ Millenium 2025 LHP -12.6 in
2 Rafael Echeverria AZ Rio Rico 2025 LHP -2.6 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Rafael Echeverria AZ Rio Rico 2025 LHP 5.2
2 Gabriel A Mendoza AZ Millenium 2025 LHP 1.6

SLIDER

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Brayden Hoyler AZ Canyon Del Oro 2027 SS 2225
2 Denzel Montijo AZ Nogales 2025 3B 2177
3 Raydon Rocha AZ Mica Mountain 2026 SS 2107
4 Henry Verhamme AZ Cactus Shadows 2026 SS 2074
5 Michel Muniz Jr AZ Sunnyside 2025 C 1903

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Raydon Rocha AZ Mica Mountain 2026 SS -6.9 in
2 Denzel Montijo AZ Nogales 2025 3B -6.6 in
3 Brayden Hoyler AZ Canyon Del Oro 2027 SS -4.4 in
4 Michel Muniz Jr AZ Sunnyside 2025 C 0.4 in
5 Henry Verhamme AZ Cactus Shadows 2026 SS 0.2 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Raydon Rocha AZ Mica Mountain 2026 SS -14.2
2 Brayden Hoyler AZ Canyon Del Oro 2027 SS -13.5
3 Denzel Montijo AZ Nogales 2025 3B -13.3
4 Henry Verhamme AZ Cactus Shadows 2026 SS -9.5
5 Michel Muniz Jr AZ Sunnyside 2025 C -2.2

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Raydon Rocha AZ Mica Mountain 2026 SS 80 %
2 Brayden Hoyler AZ Canyon Del Oro 2027 SS 60 %
3 Denzel Montijo AZ Nogales 2025 3B 50 %
^ Henry Verhamme AZ Cactus Shadows 2026 SS 50 %

CHANGEUP

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Raydon Rocha AZ Mica Mountain 2026 SS 16.0
2 Michel Muniz Jr AZ Sunnyside 2025 C 11.2
3 Rafael Echeverria AZ Rio Rico 2025 LHP -10.6
4 Denzel Montijo AZ Nogales 2025 3B 6.0
5 Henry Verhamme AZ Cactus Shadows 2026 SS 5.5

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Raydon Rocha AZ Mica Mountain 2026 SS 50 %
^ Rafael Echeverria AZ Rio Rico 2025 LHP 50 %

UPCOMING EVENTS

SHOWCASE STATE DATE LOCATION
Phoenix Fall ID AZ 10/29 Grand Canyon University


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