Prep Baseball Report

Top Prospect Games Central Texas Data Dive: Pitching


PBR Texas Staff

On June 20, the PBR Texas team hosted the Top Prospect Games: Central Texas at Texas State University. The event was invite-only and featured quality prospects from all HS classes. The day consisted of a showcase portion, followed by gameplay. Today, we take a closer look at the pitching metrics collected by TrackMan.

FASTBALL

MAX VELOCITY (MPH)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Velocity (max)
1 John D Mitchell TX St. John XXIII College Preparatory 2024 RHP 91.0 mph
2 Kolin Swindall TX Alvin 2025 RHP 87.1 mph
3 Colt Brown TX NAVARRO H S 2025 C 84.7 mph
4 Logan Flores TX Salado 2024 LHP 84.5 mph
5 Jace Patton TX Frisco Centennial 2024 SS 84.4 mph

Max Fastball Velocity: This metric calculates the speed of the pitch as it’s released from the pitcher’s hand.

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 John D Mitchell TX St. John XXIII College Preparatory 2024 RHP 2244 rpm
2 Logan Shields TX Ridge Point 2026 2B 2184 rpm
3 Dylan Rostron TX CY-FAIR H S 2025 OF 2179 rpm
4 Jace Patton TX Frisco Centennial 2024 SS 2119 rpm
5 Kolin Swindall TX Alvin 2025 RHP 2032 rpm

Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Lawson Behan TX Lamar 2026 SS 17.7 in
2 Jace Patton TX Frisco Centennial 2024 SS 17.4 in
3 Kannon Baird TX Salado 2025 OF 15.9 in
4 John D Mitchell TX St. John XXIII College Preparatory 2024 RHP 15.4 in
5 Jake Beck TX Austin 2024 RHP 14.3 in

Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiency. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of the vertical approach angle.

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Logan Flores TX Salado 2024 LHP -12.3
2 Joseph Cardona Jr. TX Moe & Gene Johnson 2027 1B -10.1
3 William Fiedler TX Kingwood 2026 OF 10.0
4 Colt Brown TX NAVARRO H S 2025 C 8.7
5 Logan Shields TX Ridge Point 2026 2B 8.5

Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Logan Flores TX Salado 2024 LHP 73 %
2 Isaiah Robledo TX REAGAN H S 2025 2B 66 %
^ Jace Patton TX Frisco Centennial 2024 SS 66 %
3 John D Mitchell TX St. John XXIII College Preparatory 2024 RHP 63 %


CURVEBALL

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 John D Mitchell TX St. John XXIII College Preparatory 2024 RHP 2574 rpm
2 Dylan Rostron TX CY-FAIR H S 2025 OF 2550 rpm
3 Jace Patton TX Frisco Centennial 2024 SS 2465 rpm
4 Logan Shields TX Ridge Point 2026 2B 2436 rpm
5 Lawson Behan TX Lamar 2026 SS 2354 rpm
6 Jake Beck TX Austin 2024 RHP 2323 rpm
7 Kannon Baird TX Salado 2025 OF 2146 rpm

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Jace Patton TX Frisco Centennial 2024 SS -14.9 in
2 Graham Charboneau TX Kingwood 2026 3B -9.8 in
3 Jackson Dippel TX Dripping Springs 2026 SS -8.8 in
4 Kolin Swindall TX Alvin 2025 RHP -8.0 in
5 Lawson Behan TX Lamar 2026 SS -7.9 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Lawson Behan TX Lamar 2026 SS -15.5
2 Jace Patton TX Frisco Centennial 2024 SS -12.8
3 Graham Charboneau TX Kingwood 2026 3B -12.5
4 Jake Beck TX Austin 2024 RHP -12.4
5 Jackson Dippel TX Dripping Springs 2026 SS -11.7

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Dylan Rostron TX CY-FAIR H S 2025 OF 100 %
2 Logan Shields TX Ridge Point 2026 2B 66 %
3 Isaiah Robledo TX REAGAN H S 2025 2B 60 %


SLIDER

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 John D Mitchell TX St. John XXIII College Preparatory 2024 RHP 2365
2 Kolin Swindall TX Alvin 2025 RHP 2153
3 Coen Devillier TX Jacksonville 2024 RHP 2146

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Isaiah Robledo TX REAGAN H S 2025 2B 14.9 in
2 Lawson Behan TX Lamar 2026 SS 8.6 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Kolin Swindall TX Alvin 2025 RHP -12.4
2 John D Mitchell TX St. John XXIII College Preparatory 2024 RHP -6.6
3 Isaiah Robledo TX REAGAN H S 2025 2B -6.0


CHANGEUP

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Logan Flores TX Salado 2024 LHP -16.1
2 Jace Patton TX Frisco Centennial 2024 SS 15.3
3 Dylan Rostron TX CY-FAIR H S 2025 OF -14.1
4 Kolin Swindall TX Alvin 2025 RHP 13.7
5 Logan Shields TX Ridge Point 2026 2B 13.5

CLICK HERE for a look at the complete statistics from the event.


RELATED CONTENT