Prep Baseball Report

Rising Stars Preseason All-State: Data Dive - Pitchers


Prep Baseball Georgia
Staff

Emerson, Georgia: On March 3rd The Prep Baseball Georgia hosted the Rising Stars Preseason All-State event at Lakepoint Sports. This event featured players from the 2028-2029 classes, and it provided our staff with an in-depth look at some high-follow players for the spring and summer season.

Inside today’s Pitching Data dive we will highlight the players with top metrics per Trackman. 

Early this week, we broke down the stat leaders from the more traditional categories in our statistical analysis. Today, we will take an even closer look at the pitchers in attendance with the help of our tech partners, broken down by the categories and leaderboards below.

FASTBALL 

MAX VELOCITY (MPH)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Velocity (max)
1 Camden Shirley GA Trinity Christian School 2028 1B 82.3 mph
2 Wesley Thiry GA Norcross 2028 RHP 82.3 mph
3 Connor Tysver GA Brookwood 2028 C 79.5 mph
4 Kingston Jones GA Pope 2028 SS 79.1 mph
5 Trent Harrison GA Central 2028 RHP 77.4 mph

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Alex Ayala GA Mill Creek 2028 OF 2006 rpm
2 Banks Halcomb GA North Gwinnett 2028 OF 1958 rpm
3 Trent Harrison GA Central 2028 RHP 1949 rpm
4 Wesley Thiry GA Norcross 2028 RHP 1930 rpm
5 Tyler Hickman GA Cartersville 2029 C 1908 rpm

Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.

SPIN EFFICIENCY% (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Efficiency % (avg)
1 Jaden Ross GA Forsyth Central 2028 OF 95 %
2 Xavier Cabrera GA Sprayberry High School 2029 1B 94 %
3 Cole Roberts GA Walnut Grove 2028 3B 93 %
4 Camden Shirley GA Trinity Christian School 2028 1B 93 %
5 Tyler Hickman GA Cartersville 2029 C 91 %

Spin Efficiency: This metric is the percentage of the raw spin rate that directly impacts pitch movement; so while raw spin is measured by revolutions per minute (rpm), spin efficiency is the ratio of true spin divided by raw spin. It’s important to understand that more is not always better when it comes to spin efficiency. The optimal spin efficiency on a pitch depends on the pitch type and should be understood in the context of a pitcher’s entire arsenal. Regarding the true four-seam fastball, a spin efficiency close to 100 percent is preferable, indicating that nearly all the backspin generated on the ball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand is contributing to the “riding” action the pitch has as it enters and exits the strike zone, making it especially effective in the upper third of the strike zone.

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Cal Morrison GA Gilmer High School 2029 C 23.2 in
2 Jaden Ross GA Forsyth Central 2028 OF 21.1 in
3 Tyler Hickman GA Cartersville 2029 C 19.3 in
4 Kyiler Elinburg GA Buford High School 2029 1B 19.2 in
5 Logan Moss GA Social Circle High School 2029 RHP 18.7 in

Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiency. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of the vertical approach angle.

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Cole Roberts GA Walnut Grove 2028 3B 19.3
2 Xavier Cabrera GA Sprayberry High School 2029 1B 16.0
3 Tyler Hickman GA Cartersville 2029 C 15.4
4 Trent Harrison GA Central 2028 RHP 15.4
5 Brady Fountain GA Oconee County High School 2028 SS 14.0

Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Cal Morrison GA Gilmer High School 2029 C 83 %
2 Wesley Thiry GA Norcross 2028 RHP 71 %
3 Cole Johnson GA Peachtree Ridge 2028 LHP 60 %
4 Banks Halcomb GA North Gwinnett 2028 OF 58 %
5 Josiah Davis GA Cherokee High School 2028 OF 50 %
^ Trent Harrison GA Central 2028 RHP 50 %

Average MLB pitchers throw 62 percent strikes, and better pitchers throw strikes 65 percent of the time, or a ratio of roughly 2:1, strikes to balls.


CURVEBALL

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Matt Kersey GA Milton High School 2028 OF 2164 rpm
2 Cooper Latson GA Mill Creek High School 2028 3B 2049 rpm
3 Cal Morrison GA Gilmer High School 2029 C 2003 rpm
4 Kingston Jones GA Pope 2028 SS 1811 rpm
5 Micah Von GA Lakeside 2028 SS 1769 rpm

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Cooper Latson GA Mill Creek High School 2028 3B -11.1 in
2 Cole Johnson GA Peachtree Ridge 2028 LHP 9.5 in
3 Matt Kersey GA Milton High School 2028 OF 7.7 in
4 Cal Morrison GA Gilmer High School 2029 C -7.3 in
5 Cole Roberts GA Walnut Grove 2028 3B 5.5 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Logan Moss GA Social Circle High School 2029 RHP -12.6
2 Cal Morrison GA Gilmer High School 2029 C -11.1
3 Caden Ponder GA North Gwinnett 2029 1B 9.4
4 Cooper Latson GA Mill Creek High School 2028 3B -7.9
5 Josiah Davis GA Cherokee High School 2028 OF -6.1

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Kyiler Elinburg GA Buford High School 2029 1B 66 %
^ Caden Ponder GA North Gwinnett 2029 1B 66 %
2 Kingston Jones GA Pope 2028 SS 60 %
3 Cooper Latson GA Mill Creek High School 2028 3B 50 %
4 Cole Johnson GA Peachtree Ridge 2028 LHP 40 %
5 Micah Von GA Lakeside 2028 SS 33 %


SLIDER

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Brady Fountain GA Oconee County High School 2028 SS 2135
2 Matt Kersey GA Milton High School 2028 OF 2125
3 Connor Tysver GA Brookwood 2028 C 2045
4 Wesley Thiry GA Norcross 2028 RHP 2000
5 Banks Halcomb GA North Gwinnett 2028 OF 1915

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Matt Kersey GA Milton High School 2028 OF 6.2 in
2 Trent Harrison GA Central 2028 RHP 6.0 in
3 Alex Ayala GA Mill Creek 2028 OF 5.5 in
4 Tyler Hickman GA Cartersville 2029 C -5.2 in
5 Cole Roberts GA Walnut Grove 2028 3B 3.0 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Wesley Thiry GA Norcross 2028 RHP -14.1
2 Alex Ayala GA Mill Creek 2028 OF -12.3
3 Connor Tysver GA Brookwood 2028 C -12.1
4 James Brooks GA South Effingham 2028 SS -11.3
5 Tyler Hickman GA Cartersville 2029 C -10.0

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Alex Ayala GA Mill Creek 2028 OF 50 %
^ Tyler Hickman GA Cartersville 2029 C 50 %
2 Trent Harrison GA Central 2028 RHP 40 %
3 Brady Fountain GA Oconee County High School 2028 SS 33 %
^ James Brooks GA South Effingham 2028 SS 33 %
4 Wesley Thiry GA Norcross 2028 RHP 20 %


CHANGEUP

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Trent Harrison GA Central 2028 RHP 1791 rpm
2 Tyler Hickman GA Cartersville 2029 C 1738 rpm
3 Matt Kersey GA Milton High School 2028 OF 1729 rpm
4 James Brooks GA South Effingham 2028 SS 1724 rpm
5 Kyiler Elinburg GA Buford High School 2029 1B 1556 rpm

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Brady Fountain GA Oconee County High School 2028 SS 16.8
2 Trent Harrison GA Central 2028 RHP 16.5
3 Alex Ayala GA Mill Creek 2028 OF -16.4
4 Caden Ponder GA North Gwinnett 2029 1B -14.9
5 Kyiler Elinburg GA Buford High School 2029 1B 14.3

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Alex Ayala GA Mill Creek 2028 OF 100 %
^ Xavier Cabrera GA Sprayberry High School 2029 1B 100 %
2 Camden Shirley GA Trinity Christian School 2028 1B 80 %
3 Cole Johnson GA Peachtree Ridge 2028 LHP 75 %
4 James Brooks GA South Effingham 2028 SS 50 %
5 Micah Von GA Lakeside 2028 SS 40 %
^ Banks Halcomb GA North Gwinnett 2028 OF 40 %

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